Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000625 0.000709 0.000798 0.000900 0.001011 0.001129 0.001264
2026-01-04 0.000501 0.000619 0.000752 0.000913 0.001100 0.001311 0.001565
2026-01-11 0.000422 0.000554 0.000710 0.000905 0.001143 0.001418 0.001761
2026-01-18 0.000361 0.000500 0.000671 0.000893 0.001172 0.001506 0.001932
2026-01-25 0.000322 0.000468 0.000653 0.000902 0.001222 0.001616 0.002130
2026-02-01 0.000288 0.000437 0.000634 0.000905 0.001263 0.001712 0.002311
2026-02-08 0.000248 0.000394 0.000593 0.000875 0.001258 0.001749 0.002416
2026-02-15 0.000216 0.000358 0.000559 0.000851 0.001257 0.001788 0.002522
2026-02-22 0.000194 0.000336 0.000541 0.000847 0.001281 0.001859 0.002670
2026-03-01 0.000176 0.000317 0.000527 0.000847 0.001310 0.001935 0.002826
2026-03-08 0.000158 0.000296 0.000507 0.000838 0.001324 0.001992 0.002956
2026-03-15 0.000141 0.000276 0.000487 0.000825 0.001331 0.002038 0.003072
2026-03-22 0.000134 0.000271 0.000490 0.000848 0.001393 0.002162 0.003300
2026-03-29 0.000126 0.000263 0.000488 0.000862 0.001440 0.002268 0.003504
2026-04-05 0.000114 0.000247 0.000473 0.000855 0.001455 0.002326 0.003643
2026-04-12 0.000102 0.000231 0.000455 0.000843 0.001462 0.002373 0.003765
2026-04-19 0.000096 0.000223 0.000451 0.000851 0.001500 0.002465 0.003954
2026-04-26 0.000088 0.000214 0.000443 0.000854 0.001529 0.002545 0.004126
2026-05-03 0.000077 0.000196 0.000418 0.000826 0.001508 0.002548 0.004185
2026-05-10 0.000068 0.000180 0.000397 0.000803 0.001493 0.002560 0.004257
2026-05-17 0.000062 0.000171 0.000387 0.000799 0.001509 0.002618 0.004399
2026-05-24 0.000057 0.000164 0.000380 0.000799 0.001531 0.002687 0.004557
2026-05-31 0.000052 0.000155 0.000368 0.000790 0.001538 0.002730 0.004678